This weekend, we’ve got a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate competitions out there for this Fight Night card, which can be rare for all these free ones. The principal tourney is an $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That’s the principal GPP I’ll be chasing this week. As always, I’m in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs as well. But this week DraftKings has two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Hotel flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor chairs contest is a $33 entry along with the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entry. I will have to take a few shots in that as well. Also, DraftKings simply released a competition for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry with a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That’s by far the biggest prize we have ever seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we can take a few additional shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week as well as my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your strongest triumph on the card and that I think she gets this battle finished early. That is where I am starting my cash LUs weekly. Just give me the -1100 favorite who is being fed an easy win here, for my cash games. I really do like a great deal of the top favorites on this particular card, I just are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she’s fine in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, therefore cash games are the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Simply take this win, and then find others and you should be useful in money games.
GPP drama of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a large Charles»Can Bronx» Oliveira enthusiast, and he’s some of my favorites submissions in UFC history. I believe we can see another awesome one here. This fight appears to be simple to call. Do Bronx will start looking for the early takedown and when he could get it then he likely receives a 1st round sub. If that happens he should lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty certain in that being the results of this struggle, so that’s why he is my GPP drama of the week. He is also my GPP play of this week, and not my Money play of this week for a motive. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll likely stop and get completed himself together with strikes. I don’t enjoy that risk of a low floor because of my own money LU, so I favor Souza there. But in GPPs I enjoy saving the $200 and going down to Do Bronx.
Underdog drama of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders more if he wasn’t taking this fight on short notice, and when it was not in Brazil. However he does have a clear path to victory here and that is by knocking outside Santos who doesn’t have a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he can win with some hard GNP as well. At $7.6k he’ll almost surely wind up on the winning LU if he’s ready to acquire the KO. This is the main event, so he’ll have 5 rounds to work with. I really do think this is a solid matchup for Anders, however he has to be competitive and not hang out to the outside. When he hangs out to the outside too long Santos will eat up him with kicks and it might be a short night for Anders. I will pick him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you’re able to get your additional 5 spots right also.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week here, I was quite wrong and that he scored over 100 points. If this happens again here, then so be it. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a 9.2k salary by a man who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points out of Alvey if I roster him and the only real way get caught that is using a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to invest my money in it.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on every struggle, my personal approaches & recommendations, and my selection outlook for every single fight then it is possible to discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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