This weekend, we’ve got a card in Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate contests available for this Fight Night card, which is uncommon for all these free ones. The principal tourney is the $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That’s the principal GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I’m in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs as well. However, this week DraftKings has two contests for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Hotel flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor seats competition is a $33 entrance and the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entrance. I will have to take a few shots at that as well. Also, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that’s a $10 entry having a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That’s by far the greatest prize we’ve seen in DFS MMA, so let us build a bankroll this weekend so we can take a few additional shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week as well as my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the strongest triumph on the card and I think she gets this battle ended early. That is where I’m starting my money LUs this week. Just give me the -1100 favored who is being fed an easy win here, for my money games. I really do like a great deal of the top favorites with this card, I simply are the most shocked when Souza lost. I believe she’s good in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, so money games are the best place to get your Souza investment nowadays. Take this triumph, then find others and you should be good in money games.
GPP drama of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a large Charles»Do Bronx» Oliveira fan, and he has some of my own favorites in UFC history. I believe we can see another awesome one here. This battle seems simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he can get it then he probably gets a 1st round sub. If that happens he should lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty confident in that being the outcome of the fight, so that’s why he is my GPP play of this week. He’s also my GPP play of the week, and not my Cash play of the week for a motive. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely quit and get completed himself together with strikes. I really don’t like that danger of a reduced floor because of my cash LU, therefore I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I enjoy saving the $200 and moving down to perform Bronx.
Underdog play of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders a lot more if he wasn’t carrying this fight on short notice, and when it was not in Brazil. But he can have a clear path to success here and that is by knocking out Santos who doesn’t have a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he could win with a few hard GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU if he is ready to get the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to function with. I really do think that is a good matchup for Anders, however he must be competitive and never hang out on the outside. If he hangs out to the exterior as long Santos will eat up him with kicks and it could be a brief night for Anders. I am going to pick him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it done in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you can get your additional five spots correct also.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is obviously a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of the week on here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it if that happens here. But I refuse to rely on an early KO triumph to pay off a 9.2k salary from a guy who does not throw several strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points from Alvey when I roll up him and the only way get caught that’s using a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each struggle, my personal approaches & recommendations, and my selection outlook for every single fight then you can find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can go to this link below:
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