The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series is coming off the longest race of this schedule with Martin Truex Jr. outlasting the rest of the area to catch his third checkered flag of the season at Charlotte Motor Speedway and that he looks for back-to-back wins this week at Pocono Raceway. Kyle Busch tamed the Tricky Triangle last July and he is a +300 favorite to repeat this weekend.
Intertops has Busch favorite at +300 followed by Kevin Harvick at +450, Martin Truex Jr. in +500, Brad Keselowski in +650, Joey Logano in +900, Chase Elliott at +1000, Denny Hamlin in +1200, Kurt Busch and Ryan Blaney in +2000, and Kyle Larson and Clint Bowyer in +2200 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.
Toyota has won each of the previous three races at Pocono Raceway, Ford won 2 in a row before that and Chevrolet won seven of eight prior to that.
The winner has qualified beyond the top five in seven of the last 11 runnings in the Tricky Triangle.
There hasn’t been a back-to-back winner at Pocono because Dale Earnhardt Jr. did so in 2014.
Kyle Busch has finished on the podium in each of the previous three races at this track, including two victories. He’s also led a minumum of one lap in each of the last seven races there. Prior to the previous three races, however, Busch finished outside of the top 10 in four of seven runnings.
Daniel Suarez finished outside of the top 15 in both spring runnings at Pocono but finished second and seventh in the two summer races there. He finished one place behind Busch in the previous race in the Tricky Triangle.
Alex Bowman ended third in the last race in Pocono but finished 25th or worse in his additional five starts at this course.
Martin Truex Jr. won the spring operating in the Tricky Triangle last year, and it has led at least one lap at six of the last eight races there. He’s also finished outside the top five in five of the previous seven races at Pocono.
Brad Keselowski has directed a minumum of one lap in 11 of the last 15 races at Pocono Raceway and has finished within the top five in six of the last seven runnings in the Tricky Triangle.
My Best Bet for your Pocono 400:
Brad Keselowski +650
He’s been completely consistent at Pocono Raceway, constantly finding himself in the front of the pack at a certain point in the race and typically in the hunt to win it outright. Keselowski has secured three wins this season and five top-five finishes as well. Last, Ford has found a lot of speed in the 1.5-mile and two-mile monitors this year and I expect them to become more competitive on Sunday.
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